H. Minakami et al., WHEN IS THE OPTIMAL TIME FOR DELIVERY - PURELY FROM THE FETUSES PERSPECTIVE, Gynecologic and obstetric investigation, 40(3), 1995, pp. 174-178
To determine when the extrauterine environment becomes safer than the
intrauterine environment with respect to fetal (neonatal) life, we ana
lyzed all 4,896,505 livebirths, all 21,222 stillbirths, and all 7,513
early neonatal deaths after 26 weeks of gestation that were recorded b
etween 1989 and 1992 in Japan. Although the risks of early neonatal de
ath (<1 week of age) and of neonatal death (<4 weeks of age) greatly e
xceeded the risk of stillbirth at 26 weeks of gestation, those risks d
eclined sharply by 39 weeks of gestation, then increased, while the ri
sk of stillbirth within 1 and 4 weeks remained constantly low until 38
and 40 weeks of gestation, respectively, and increased thereafter. Th
e risk of stillbirth within 1 and 4 weeks exceeded the risks of early
neonatal death and of neonatal death at and beyond gestational weeks 4
0 and 38, respectively, for a singleton pregnancy. A similar reversal
occurred at 37 and 35 weeks of gestation for a multiple pregnancy. Neo
nates born at 39 and 37 weeks of gestation for singleton and multiple
pregnancies, respectively, had the best outcomes. It is concluded that
the chance of survival for fetuses reaching 40 and 37 weeks of gestat
ion for singleton and multiple pregnancies, respectively, were higher
in the extrauterine than the intrauterine environment in Japan today.