S. Manabe et Rj. Stouffer, SIMULATION OF ABRUPT CLIMATE-CHANGE INDUCED BY FRESH-WATER INPUT TO THE NORTH-ATLANTIC OCEAN, Nature, 378(6553), 1995, pp. 165-167
TEMPERATURE records from Greenland ice cores(1,2) suggest that large a
nd abrupt changes of North Atlantic climate occurred frequently during
both glacial and postglacial periods; one example is the Younger Drya
s cold event. Broecker(3) speculated that these changes result from ra
pid changes in the thermohaline circulation of the Atlantic Ocean, whi
ch were caused by the release of large amounts of melt water from cont
inental ice sheets. Here we describe an attempt to explore this intrig
uing phenomenon using a coupled ocean-atmosphere model. In response to
a massive surface flux of fresh water to the northern North Atlantic
of the model, the thermohaline circulation weakens abruptly, intensifi
es and weakens again, followed by a gradual recovery, generating episo
des that resemble the abrupt changes of the ocean-atmosphere system re
corded in ice and deep-sea cores(4). The associated change of surface
air temperature is particularly large in the northern North Atlantic O
cean and its neighbourhood, but is relatively small in the rest of the
world.