Gm. Mead et al., INTERNATIONAL GERM-CELL CONSENSUS CLASSIFICATION - A PROGNOSTIC FACTOR-ERASED STAGING SYSTEM FOR METASTATIC GERM-CELL CANCERS, Journal of clinical oncology, 15(2), 1997, pp. 594-603
Purpose: Cisplatin-containing chemotherapy has dramatically improved t
he outlook for patients with metastatic germ cell tumors (GCT), and ov
erall cure rates now exceed 80%. To make appropriate risk-based decisi
ons about therapy and to facilitate collaborative trials, a simple pro
gnostic factor-based staging classification is required. Materials: Co
llaborative groups from 10 countries provided clinical data on patient
s with metastatic GCT treated with cisplatin-containing chemotherapy.
Multivariate analyses of prognostic factors for progression and surviv
al were performed and models were validated on on independent data set
. Results: Data were available on 5,202 patients with nonseminomatous
GCT (NSGCT) and 660 patients with seminoma. Median follow-up time was
5 years, For NSGCT the following independent adverse factors were iden
tified: mediastinal primary site; degree of elevation of alpha-fetopro
tein (AFP), human chorionic gonadotropin (HCG), and lactic dehydrogena
se (LDH); and presence of nonpulmonary visceral metastases (NPVM), suc
h as liver, bone, and brain. For seminoma, the predominant adverse fea
ture was the presence of NPVM. integration of these factors produced t
he following groupings: good prognosis, comprising 60% of GCT with a 9
1% (89% to 93%) 5-year survival rate; intermediate prognosis, comprisi
ng 26% of GCT with a 79% (75% to 83%) 5-year survival rate; and poor p
rognosis, comprising 14% of GCT (all with NSGCT) with a 48% (42% to 54
%) 5-year survival rate. Conclusion: An easily applicable, clinically
based, prognostic classification for GCT has been agreed on between al
l the major clinical trial groups who are presently active worldwide.
This should be used in clinical practice and in the design and reporti
ng of clinical trials to aid international collaboration and understan
ding. (C) 1997 by American Society of Clinical Oncology.