M. Holyoak et Jh. Lawton, COMMENT ARISING FROM A PAPER BY WOLDA AND DENNIS - USING AND INTERPRETING THE RESULTS OF TESTS FOR DENSITY-DEPENDENCE, Oecologia, 95(4), 1993, pp. 592-594
We argue that tests for density dependence are useful in analyses of p
opulation dynamics and suggest guide lines for their use and interpret
ation of results which avoid many of the problems discussed by Wolda a
nd Dennis (1993). Processes other than density dependence per se can c
ause statistical tests to indicate the presence of density dependence
(Wolda and Dennis 1993 and unpublished simulations). Tests for density
dependence cannot reveal the mechanism of regulation, but they do ind
icate the nature of long-term population dynamics. Tests for density d
ependence give misleading results if sampling is not at generation int
ervals; however, this problem is avoided if we only use tests on data
collected in each generation (Holyoak 1993a). Similarly, species shoul
d be semelparous. Non-delayed density dependence should not be conside
red without looking for delayed density dependence, since the presence
of delayed density dependence can lead to over-detection of non-delay
ed density dependence (Woiwod and Hanski 1992; Holyoak 1993b). The par
tial autocorrelation function and knowledge of life-history are more u
seful than tests for density dependence for indicating whether any den
sity dependence is delayed or not (Royama 1992; Holyoak 1993b). Estima
tion error with a constant upper size limit causes tests for density d
ependence to overestimate the frequency of delayed density dependence;
however we do not know whether estimation error is bounded in real po
pulations. Work in progress suggests that 20-40 generations (depending
on the nature of population dynamics) gives a moderate level of accur
acy with tests for density dependence, and > 40 generations are necess
ary for tests to be accurate in their assessment of the strength of de
nsity dependence. We conclude that tests are useful indicators of whet
her density dependence, or other feedback mechanisms are likely to be
acting.