PROBABILITY MODELING IN ORSA - A PERSONAL PERSPECTIVE

I have been personally involved with the art of probability modeling a nd with ORSA during the past 30 years. ORSA has been important for the applied probability community in North America and probability is imp ortant for both technology and society. Its algorithmization has been important for the discipline itself. In the future, we need to develop emerging methodologies to study genuinely complex models and fill the educational and manpower needs to meet future challenges.