R. Schoen et Rm. Weinick, THE SLOWING METABOLISM OF MARRIAGE - FIGURES FROM 1988 UNITED-STATES MARITAL-STATUS LIFE-TABLES, Demography, 30(4), 1993, pp. 737-746
Marital status life tables for the United States, 1988, show a continu
ing retreat from marriage. For both sexes, the proportion ever marryin
g declined and the average age at first marriage rose. The 1988 rates
imply that 43% of marriages end in divorce. That represents a slight d
ecline from the 1983 figure, and suggests that divorce has peaked at a
level below that estimated in earlier analyses.