Da. Focks et al., DYNAMIC LIFE TABLE MODEL FOR AEDES-AEGYPTI (DIPTERA, CULICIDAE) - SIMULATION AND VALIDATION, Journal of medical entomology, 30(6), 1993, pp. 1018-1028
The container-inhabiting mosquito simulation model (CIMSiM) is a weath
er driven, dynamic life table simulation model of Aedes aegypti (L.) a
nd similar nondiapausing Aedes mosquitoes that inhabit artificial and
natural containers. This paper presents a validation of CIMSiM simulat
ing Ae. aegypti using several independent series of data that were not
used in model development. Validation data sets include laboratory wo
rk designed to elucidate the role of diet on fecundity and rates of la
rval development and survival. Comparisons are made with four field st
udies conducted in Bangkok, Thailand, on seasonal changes in populatio
n dynamics and with a field study in New Orleans, LA, on larval habita
t. Finally, predicted ovipositional activity of Ae. aegypti in seven c
ities in the southeastern United States for the period 1981-1985 is co
mpared with a data set developed by the U.S. Public Health Service. On
the basis of these comparisons, we believe that, for stated design go
als, CIMSiM adequately simulates the population dynamics of Ae. aegypt
i in response to specific information on weather and immature habitat.
We anticipate that it will be useful in simulation studies concerning
the development and optimization of control strategies and that, with
further field validation, can provide entomological inputs for a deng
ue virus transmission model.