Wj. Sacco et al., EFFECT OF PREINJURY ILLNESS ON TRAUMA PATIENT SURVIVAL OUTCOME, The journal of trauma, injury, infection, and critical care, 35(4), 1993, pp. 538-543
Data from 11,156 patients treated at the four Major Trauma Outcome Stu
dy controlled sites were used to estimate the effect on survival of ea
ch APACHE II preinjury illness condition (PIC). A case-control methodo
logy was applied; 544 patients (4.8%) had one or more PICs. For each p
atient with a specific PIC we identified a set of matching patients wi
th no PICs. A patient matches a PIC patient if both have the same mech
anism of injury, the same coding of Revised Trauma Score variables (Gl
ascow Coma Scale score, systolic blood pressure, respiratory rate), th
e same coded age per A Severity Characterization of Trauma) (ASCOT), a
nd if they differ by no more than 0.5 for A, B, and C (the ASCOT compo
nents for serious injuries). The estimated survival probability for a
PIC patient is either the survival rate for the patient's matched set
or, if there are no matches, the patient's ASCOT survival probability.
The survival probabilities were used to compare the actual and predic
ted numbers of survivors for each PIC, using z and W statistics. Compu
tations of z and W were also made using ASCOT survival probabilities f
or each PIC patient. The results indicate profound effects of five PIC
s (hepatic, cardiovascular, respiratory, renal, diabetes) on trauma pa
tient outcomes. Conclusion: Pre-existing organ dysfunction has a profo
und effect on patient outcome even after controlling for age, anatomic
and physiologic severity, and mechanism of injury. But, because of th
eir relatively low incidence in this sample, PICs did not strongly inf
luence institutional outcome performance as measured by z and W values
.