D. Ghura et Tj. Grennes, THE REAL EXCHANGE-RATE AND MACROECONOMIC PERFORMANCE IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA, Journal of development economics, 42(1), 1993, pp. 155-174
Pooled time-series and cross-section data for 33 countries in Sub-Saha
ran Africa (SSA) confirm the negative relationship between the real ex
change rate (RER) misalignment and economic performance (economic grow
th, imports, exports, saving and investment). Macroeconomic instabilit
y also slows growth and other indicators of performance. Higher levels
of misalignment are accompanied by higher levels of macroeconomic ins
tability. Both lower levels of RER misalignment and instability lead t
o better economic performance. The Edwards model of RER determination
performs well for the region. Black market premia tend to show a great
er degree of misalignment in RER than alternative measures.