Ez. Oddone et al., COST-EFFECTIVENESS ANALYSIS OF EARLY ZIDOVUDINE TREATMENT OF HIV-INFECTED PATIENTS, BMJ. British medical journal, 307(6915), 1993, pp. 1322-1325
Objective-To compare cost effectiveness of early and later treatment w
ith zidovudine for patients infected with HIV. Design-Markov chain ana
lysis of cost effectiveness based on results of use of health care and
efficacy from a trial of zidovudine treatment. Setting-Seven Veterans
Affairs medical centres in the United States. Subjects-338 patients w
ith symptomatic HIV infection and a lymphocyte count of 200 x 10(6) to
500 x 10(6) CD4 cells/l. Interventions-Zidovudine 1500 mg/day started
either at recruitment to the trial or when CD4 cell count fell below
200 x 10(6)/l. Main outcome measures-Health care costs and rates of di
sease progression between six clinical states of HIV infection. Result
s-Patients given early treatment with zidovudine remained without AIDS
for an extra two months at a cost of $10 750 for each extra month wit
hout AIDS (at 1991 costs). Cost effectiveness ratio was most sensitive
to the cost of zidovudine and to the quality of life of patients rece
iving early treatment. At treatment of 500 mg/day the cost effectivene
ss ratio for early treatment was $5432 for each extra month without AI
DS. Patients given early treatment experienced more side effects, and
if their quality of life was devalued by 8% compared with patients tre
ated later the two treatments were equivalent in terms of quality adju
sted months of life without AIDS. Conclusions-Early treatment with zid
ovudine is expensive and is very sensitive to the cost of zidovudine a
nd to potential reductions in quality of life of patients who experien
ce side effects. Doctors should reconsider early treatment with zidovu
dine for patients who experience side effects that substantially compr
omise their quality of life.