A NOTE ON PORTRAYING THE ACCURACY OF VIOLENCE PREDICTIONS

Authors
HART SD WEBSTER CD MENZIES RJ
Citation
Sd. Hart et al., A NOTE ON PORTRAYING THE ACCURACY OF VIOLENCE PREDICTIONS, Law and human behavior, 17(6), 1993, pp. 695-700
Citations number
31
Categorie Soggetti
Law
Journal title
Law and human behavior → ACNP
ISSN journal
01477307
Volume
17
Issue
6
Year of publication
1993
Pages
695 - 700
Database
ISI
SICI code
0147-7307(1993)17:6<695:ANOPTA>2.0.ZU;2-2
Abstract
We discuss two major reviews of the accuracy of dichotomous (yes/no) v iolence predictions (Monahan, 1981; Otto, 1992), which reported rates of false positive errors that were calculated using conceptually and m athematically dissimilar methods. We outline potential problems that r esult from analyzing data in the form of 2 x 2 contingency tables and offer some recommendations for future research on the prediction of vi olence.