F. Bella et al., GROUND TILT ANOMALIES ACCOMPANYING THE MAIN EARTHQUAKES OCCURRED IN THE CENTRAL APENNINES (ITALY) DURING THE PERIOD 1986-1989, Nuovo cimento della Societa italiana di fisica. C, Geophysics and space physics, 16(4), 1993, pp. 393-406
A four-year set of tilt data (1988-1989) recorded at three sites of th
e Central Apennines (Italy) and which in the past pointed out quite go
od raw tilt responses to seismicity, only with moderate thermoelastic
effects, have been investigated to search for the possible existence o
f tilt anomalies accompanying the main earthquakes of the region. It h
as been observed that, even if fairly good tilt responses to principal
events seem to appear, correlations of similar or better quality are
obtained when comparing the same tilts with pressure and mainly with t
emperature. However, when taking into account earthquakes with magnitu
des M greater than or equal to 3.0 and more strict E (strain) and L (s
ource dimension) threshold values (the last two parameters being used
to evaluate tilt field at a distance R), only one event (M = 3.5; R =
5.1 km) has been selected and tectonic from non-tectonic contributions
have been pointed out clearly at one tilt site. The quoted earthquake
showed the best E and R/L values (E = 10(-6); R/L = 2.4) in the whole
period and it was preceded by a clear tilt anomaly with amplitude and
duration of about 5 mu rad and 2 months, respectively. Since the tilt
signal in this period is not affected by any non-tectonic effect (max
imum correlation coefficient with temperature r = 0.2) the quoted anom
aly has been considered as a probable precursor of the above-mentioned
earthquake it preceds. Residual, tilt vector oscillations along the d
irection-including the epicentral area of this event, were also observ
ed. On the contrary, all the remaining anomalous tilts proved to be we
ll justified with pressure and/or temperature variations (r values up
to 0.8).