Background: It is not always possible to predict when tracheal intubat
ion will be difficult or impossible. The authors wanted to determine w
hether indirect laryngoscopy could identify patients in whom intubatio
n was difficult. Methods: Indirect laryngoscopy was done in 2,504 pati
ents. The Wilson risk sum score and the modified Mallampati score mere
also studied in a different series of 3,680 patients for comparison.
These predictive methods were compared according to three parameters:
positive predictive value, sensitivity, and specificity. Results: Of 6
,184 patients studied, the trachea proved difficult to intubate in 82
(1.3%). Positive predictive value (31%) and specificity (98.4%) with i
ndirect laryngoscopy were greater than the other two predictive method
s (P < 0.01), whereas sensitivity with indirect laryngoscopy (69.2%) w
as greater than that of the Wilson risk sum score (55.4%) (P < 0.01).
Conclusions: Although in 15% of patients indirect laryngoscopy could n
ot be performed because of excessive gag reflex indirect laryngoscopy
cars serve as an effective method to predict difficult intubation.