Prediction of the (critical) unstable mode of a power system due to a
fault cleared immediately after the critical clearing time is useful,
for example, in transient stability analysis and in relay setting. How
ever, the existing methods of predicting (critical) unstable modes wer
e derived mostly on heuristics and simulations. And these methods were
derived for the classical power system model. In this paper, theoreti
cal results for predicting unstable modes for general power system mod
els are presented. It is shown that the unstable manifold of the contr
olling u.e.p. (instead of the coordinate of the controlling u.e.p.) de
termines the unstable mode. It is also shown that the unstable modes d
ue to different fault-on trajectories with the same type-one controlli
ng u.e.p. are the same. A computational scheme is developed to predict
unstable modes for general power system models. To confirm the theore
tical results developed in this paper, the scheme has been tested on a
50-generator, 145-bus system with promising results. Also, one applic
ation of the unstable mode predictions to transient stability analysis
is illustrated.