RECENT DEVELOPMENTS IN THE MODELING OF THE FUTURE CLIMATE OF SOUTHERNAFRICA

Climatic change in southern Africa over the last two millennia will be reviewed. Atmospheric processes and circulation changes modulating re cent climatic change in the region will be considered. Present-day dro ught conditions will be modelled from sea-surface temperature variatio ns. Finally, the most up-to-date general circulation model simulations of possible future equilibrium and transient changes of climate over southern Africa arising out of greenhouse warming over the next 50 yea rs or so will be presented.