Background. The current practice of removing adenomatous polyps of the
colon and rectum is based on the belief that this will prevent colore
ctal cancer. To address the hypothesis that colonoscopic polypectomy r
educes the incidence of colorectal cancer, we analyzed the results of
the National Polyp Study with reference to other published results. Me
thods. The study cohort consisted of 1418 patients who had a complete
colonoscopy during which one or more adenomas of the colon or rectum w
ere removed. The patients subsequently underwent periodic colonoscopy
during an average follow-up of 5.9 years, and the incidence of colorec
tal cancer was ascertained. The incidence rate of colorectal cancer wa
s compared with that in three reference groups, including two cohorts
in which colonic polyps were not removed and one general-population re
gistry, after adjustment for sex, age, and polyp size.Results. Ninety-
seven percent of the patients were followed clinically for a total of
8401 person-years, and 80 percent returned for one or more of their sc
heduled colonoscopies. Five asymptomatic early-stage colorectal cancer
s (malignant polyps) were detected by colonoscopy (three at three year
s, one at six years, and one at seven years). No symptomatic cancers w
ere detected. The numbers of colorectal cancers expected on the basis
of the rates in the three reference groups were 48.3, 43.4, and 20.7,
for reductions in the incidence of colorectal cancer of 90, 88, and 76
percent, respectively (P<0.001). Conclusions. Colonoscopic polypectom
y resulted in a lower-than-expected incidence of colorectal cancer. Th
ese results support the view that colorectal adenomas progress to aden
ocarcinomas, as well as the current practice of searching for and remo
ving adenomatous polyps to prevent colorectal cancer.