M. Hambrecht et H. Hafner, TREMA, APOPHANY, APOCALYPSE - IS THERE AN EMPIRICAL-BASIS FOR CONRADSPHASE MODEL, Fortschritte der Neurologie, Psychiatrie, 61(12), 1993, pp. 418-423
Among several phase models of beginning schizophrenia, the study by Co
nrad (,,Die beginnende Schizophrenie. Versuch einer Gestaltanalyse des
Wahns'') was particularly impressive in German psychiatry. The ABC-Sc
hizophrenia-study with its representative sample of 267 first-admissio
ns and a careful retrospective assessment of emerging symptomatology m
ade it possible to test the empirical basis of Conrad's model. In this
operationalization ''trema'' was confirmed as the frequent first stag
e of the disease process, whereas Conrad's hypothesized order of the t
wo following phases (first ''apophany'', then ''apocalypse'') could no
t be validated. Therefore, Conrad's model cannot completely be general
ized. Because the methods employed so far have some limitations, analy
ses of additional data (especially reports by significant others) may
control and probably enhance the presented results.