The manner of President Boris Yeltsin's return to work after heart sur
gery has once again raised the question of who will succeed him. Short
y after welcoming Chancellor Helmut Kohl of Germany to a chill Moscow,
he was readmitted to hospital with pneumonia. The potential candidate
s to take over must ready themselves for several possible eventualitie
s. If Yeltsin were to die, then obviously there would be an immediate
crisis. If he were to have a serious relapse, that, too, would intensi
fy rivalries. Even if Yeltsin regains some of his former vigour and ca
rries on to the end of his term, according to the constitution he will
not be eligible for re-election in July 2000. This means that there w
ill be a progressive acceleration of the succession struggle.