Two attractive theories for the evolution of senescence are based on t
he principle that the force of natural selection decreases with age1-5
. The theories differ in the type of age-specific gene action that the
y assume. Antagonistic pleiotropy2-5 postulates that pleiotropic genes
with positive effects early in life and negative effects of comparabl
e magnitude late in life are favoured by selection, whereas genes with
the reverse pattern of action are selected against. Mutation accumula
tion1,3-5 assumes that deleterious mutant alleles with age-specific ef
fects will equilibrate at a lower frequency if their effects are expre
ssed early rather than late in life. Explicit models demonstrate that
both mechanisms can lead to the evolution of senescent life histories
under reasonable conditions3-5. Antagonistic pleiotropy has gained con
siderable empirical support4-6, but the evidence in support of mutatio
n accumulation is more sparse4,5,7. Here we report that the genetic va
riability of mortality in male Drosophila melanogaster increases great
ly at very late ages, as predicted by the mutation accumulation hypoth
esis3-5. The rate of increase in mortality with age exhibits substanti
al genetic and environmental variability. This result provides a possi
ble explanation for recent observations of non-increasing mortality ra
tes in very old flies8,9.