RESEARCH BY ACCIDENT

Authors
Citation
Tc. Schelling, RESEARCH BY ACCIDENT, Technological forecasting & social change, 53(1), 1996, pp. 15-20
Citations number
8
Categorie Soggetti
Business,"Planning & Development
ISSN journal
00401625
Volume
53
Issue
1
Year of publication
1996
Pages
15 - 20
Database
ISI
SICI code
0040-1625(1996)53:1<15:RBA>2.0.ZU;2-C
Abstract
The article addresses the issue of uncertainty in technological knowle dge. ''Research by accident'' is seen as a central cognitive process t o generate (unanticipated) knowledge about the characteristics of a te chnology. In the example of nuclear weapons, scientific programs have initially led to a sequency of unanticipated discoveries-a process of research by accident that subsequently reveals properties and characte ristics of a technology that were not expected initially. The second p art of the article deals with cases in which uncertainty originates no t in the absence of knowledge per se, but rather with whether knowledg e is available in the right form and the right policy context. The exa mple of energy studies of the 1970s illustrates that uncertainty also includes cases where the problem at hand deals with the efficiency of information distribution rather than information generation. There is a difference between (scientific) information that exists somewhere an d scientific information that is known in the right context to the rig ht people (the persons with the capacity to take, or to resist, action ) at the right time.