Death in chronic heart failure (CHF) can be from progression of diseas
e or sudden and unexpected. We have attempted to identify factors that
predict sudden death in CHF. We followed up 44 patients with CHF for
12-50 (mean 36) months. 4 patients died of non-cardiovascular causes a
nd were excluded from analysis. There were 7 sudden deaths (symptoms f
or less than 1 h in a previously stable patient) and 12 from progressi
ve CHF. Patients who died of progressive CHF had lower left-ventricula
r ejection fractions and higher concentrations of atrial natriuretic f
actor than the 21 survivors, but there were no differences in these va
riables between survivors and those who died suddenly. However, the su
dden death group had significantly (p<0.05) greater inter-lead variabi
lity in the QT interval on the electrocardiogram (QT dispersion; 98.6
[95% CI 79.1-118] ms1/2) than survivors (53.1 [41.9-64.3] ms1/2) or th
e group who died from progressive CHF (66.7 [51.8-81.6] ms%). QT dispe
rsion is a marker of myocardial electrical instability. The associatio
n of increased QT dispersion with sudden death suggests that patients
at high risk of such death could be identified by means of this simple
, reproducible test. This group might benefit from more intensive trea
tment.