For properly selected rectal cancers, local excision is a sphincter-sa
ving alternative to abdominoperineal resection. If histologic assessme
nt of a locally excised tumor reveals ominous features, further treatm
ent with radical resection or irradiation may be necessary to treat po
tential lymph node metastases. PURPOSE: We wished to determine which f
eatures, if any, were predictors of nodal metastases. METHODS: Nine hi
stologic and morphologic features of 62 radically excised rectal cance
rs were reviewed to determine which factors, if any, were associated w
ith nodal disease. RESULTS: Using a chi-squared analysis, we found wor
sening differentiation (P 0.0001), increasing depth of penetration (P
= 0.026), a microtubular configuration of 20 percent or more (P = 0.02
3), and the presence of venous (P = 0.001) or perineural invasion (P =
0.002) to significantly influence nodal disease. Lymphatic invasion w
as witnessed too infrequently to determine significance but, when pres
ent, was associated with nodal metastases in every case. Exophytic tum
or morphology, mitotic count, and tumor size were not significant pred
ictors. An analysis of variables determined that, of all factors or co
mbination of factors examined, Broder's classification was the stronge
st predictor of nodal disease. CONCLUSIONS: If a rectal cancer is acce
ssible and of small size to facilitate local excision, an in-depth his
tologic assessment is needed to determine if nodal metastases are like
ly on a statistical basis.