Objective: No predictive parameters of in utero or perinatal vertical
transmission of HIV to newborns are known at present. Vertical transmi
ssion may be related to several biological parameters of maternal HIV
infection: (1) immunological parameters (neutralizing antibodies); (2)
the concentration of viral particles and/or infected cells; and (3) t
he selection of HIV subspecies of particular cellular tropism. The pre
sent study was designed to examine the relationship between cellular v
iral burden and transmission, and between maternal viral burden and CD
4+ cell count and clinical status at delivery. Method: We investigated
mother-to-infant HIV-1 transmission at delivery in a cohort of 51 pai
rs of mothers and newborns. Twelve infants were HIV-infected, as deter
mined by successive polymerase chain reaction and culture determinatio
ns within the first 6 months of life, and nine of these were diagnosed
as HIV-infected during the first week of life. We determined peripher
al blood mononuclear cell proviral DNA burden using a quantitative pol
ymerase chain reaction assay. Polymerase chain reaction was performed
in the HIV-1 gag gene, using [P-32]-end-labelled primers. External sta
ndard DNA samples were from the 85-14 F2 cell line, which contains a u
nique defective proviral DNA genome. Results: There was a linear relat
ionship between the logarithms of c.p.m. and the number of HIV-1 DNA c
opies. Conclusion: We have previously reported that the number of HIV
provirus copies in maternal blood cells is related to transmission of
the virus. Quantification of the HIV provirus by polymerase chain reac
tion may be used as a predictive parameter of vertical transmission if
accompanied by an exhaustive clinical and biological follow-up during
pregnancy.