J. Katzenellenbogen et al., MORTALITY IN A RURAL SOUTH-AFRICAN MISSION, 1837-1909 - AN HISTORICALCOHORT STUDY USING CHURCH RECORDS, International journal of epidemiology, 22(6), 1993, pp. 965-975
Three decadal birth cohorts (1837-1846), 1870-1879 and 1900-1909) each
of approximately 500 individuals, were constructed retrospectively th
rough the parish records of the Moravian Mission at Mamre in the Weste
rn Cape region of South Africa, Nominative data collection techniques
were used to determine the infant mortality rates (IMR), quinquennial
mortality rates (QMR) and life expectancies of the three cohorts. The
quality of the data was investigated, specifically non-registration an
d attrition. Overall, male registration coverage was substantially bet
ter than that for females. Birth registration was best for the 1837-18
46 cohort for males and females, with the 1900-1909 registration being
next best. Infant death registration was most complete for males in t
hese two cohorts, but was poor for females. Based on these data, the I
MR for the cohorts born in 1837-1846, 1870-1879 and 1900-1909 (196, 18
2 and 128 per 1000 respectively for males and 160, 172 and 97 per 1000
respectively for females) appeared to be underestimates. There was so
me evidence of a downward trend for the IMR with time for males, but t
his was not statistically significant. For the three cohorts QMR did n
ot differ statistically for males, but for females the third cohort wa
s consistently lower than the other cohorts. The difference was small
(well within the 95% confidence interval) but the third cohort ranked
consistently below the other two. The life expectancies did not differ
significantly between cohorts. The life expectancies at birth (range
34-40 years for males and 32-45 years for females) were probably overe
stimates due to biased IMR. The life expectancies at age 1 (range 41-4
4 for males and 37-49 for females) were considered to be more represen
tative figures. Life expectancies at age 20 (37-45 years) were fairly
stable over rime except for females in the 1900-1909 cohort whose life
expectancies were substantially higher than the figures for the earli
er cohorts. All mortality indices investigated in this study consisten
tly showed a lighter burden of mortality in historical Mamre compared
to 'coloureds' in the Cape Colony at the turn of the century. This is
probably the result of the better housing, environmental, social, econ
omic and educational conditions on the missions relative to the rest o
f the Colony in the century after the emancipation of slaves.