Composites have inherent scatter in elastic and strength properties. A
probabilistic model utilizing random material characteristics to pred
ict damage evolution in orthotropic laminated composites is presented
in this paper. The proposed model is based on the division of laminate
d composites into a statistically large number of mesoelements (mesovo
lumes). The mesovolume is assumed to be large enough to be structurall
y homogeneous, and at the same time it has to be comparatively small t
o satisfy the condition of stochastic homogeneity of stress and strain
fields. Three modes of mesovolume failure, i.e., fibre breakage and m
atrix failure in the transverse direction as well as matrix shear crac
king, are taken into account. Damage formation in a ply and in a lamin
ate as a whole for a given plane stress state is calculated from the p
robabilities of mesovolume failure. These probabilities are directly u
tilized in reducing ply material constants. A numerical algorithm for
damage accumulation and deformation history predictions for orthotropi
c laminated composites are developed. The behavior of a laminated orth
otropic composite is presented as an illustrative example. Analysis of
angle-ply Kevlar/epoxy laminates subjected to tension, compression, a
nd shear loading is performed. The effect of scatters in elastic and s
trength characteristics on damage evolution is shown.