Objective. To identify the appropriate characteristics of superficial
bladder cancer that allow the physician to predict tumor behavior. Met
hods. We analyzed 1,745 patients with primary superficial bladder canc
er with regard to disease and patient characteristics. Results. With t
he characteristics we found, the population can be described and progn
ostic factors can be found. Moreover, with the use of these factors, i
t appears to be possible to predict tumor behavior on a group level. P
rediction on an individual level, however, remains far from ideal. Con
clusions. Three treatment options can be chosen: follow-up after initi
al transurethral resection, additional instillations with intravesical
chemotherapy, or instillations with bacillus Calmette-Guerin (BCG). I
n case instillations are indicated, most (but not all) superficial bla
dder cancer trials show superiority of BCG over intravesical chemother
apy, although at the cost of more side effects. However, with intraves
ical BCG, it seems possible to influence the natural history of superf
icial bladder cancer, which means that we can delay progression and im
prove survival.