Tc. Quinn, POPULATION MIGRATION AND THE SPREAD OF TYPE-1 AND TYPE-2 HUMAN IMMUNODEFICIENCY VIRUSES, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United Statesof America, 91(7), 1994, pp. 2407-2414
Over 14 million people are estimated to be infected with the human imm
unodeficiency viruses (HIV), with nearly three-fourths of the infected
persons residing in developing countries. One factor responsible for
dissemination of both HIV-1 and HIV-2 worldwide was the intense migrat
ion of individuals, from rural to urban centers with subsequent return
migration and internationally due to civil wars, tourism, business pu
rposes, and the drug trade. In sub-Saharan Africa, between 1960 and 19
80, urban centers with more than 500,000 inhabitants increased from 3
to 28, and more than 75 military coups occurred in 30 countries. The r
esult was a massive migration of rural inhabitants to urban centers co
ncomitant with the spread of HIV-1 to large population centers. With t
he associated demographic, economic, and social changes, an epidemic o
f sexually transmitted diseases and HIV-1 was ignited. Migratory patte
rns were also responsible for the spread of endemic HIV-2 to neighbori
ng West African countries and eventually to Europe, the Americas, and
India. Although Southeast Asia was the last region in which HIV-1 was
introduced, it has the greatest potential for rapid spread due to popu
lation density and inherent risk behaviors. Thus, the migration of poo
r, rural, and young sexually active individuals to urban centers coupl
ed with large international movements of HIV-infected individuals play
ed a prominent role in the dissemination of HIV globally. The economic
recession has aggravated the transmission of HIV by directly increasi
ng the population at risk through increased urban migration, disruptio
n of rural families and cultural values, poverty, and prostitution and
indirectly through a decrease in health care provision. Consequently,
social and economic reform as well as sexual behavior education need
to be intensified if HIV transmission is to be controlled.