MONTE-CARLO SIMULATION FOR CORRELATED VARIABLES WITH MARGINAL DISTRIBUTIONS

Citation
Ch. Chang et al., MONTE-CARLO SIMULATION FOR CORRELATED VARIABLES WITH MARGINAL DISTRIBUTIONS, Journal of hydraulic engineering, 120(3), 1994, pp. 313-331
Citations number
13
Categorie Soggetti
Engineering, Mechanical","Engineering, Civil","Water Resources
ISSN journal
07339429
Volume
120
Issue
3
Year of publication
1994
Pages
313 - 331
Database
ISI
SICI code
0733-9429(1994)120:3<313:MSFCVW>2.0.ZU;2-M
Abstract
As computation speed increases, Monte Carlo simulation is becoming a v iable tool for engineering design and analysis. However, restrictions are often imposed on multivariate cases in which the involved stochast ic parameters are correlated. In multivariate Monte Carlo simulation, a joint probability distribution is required that can only be derived for some limited cases. This paper proposes a practical multivariate M onte Carlo simulation that preserves the marginal distributions of ran dom variables and their correlation structure without requiring the co mplete joint distribution. For illustration, the procedure is applied to the reliability analysis of a bridge pier against scouring.