The publication of 'The Health of the Nation' [Department of Health (1
992) The Health of the Nation. A Strategy for the Health of England. C
M 1986, HMSO.] has added increased emphasis to the long standing debat
e concerning the relative cost-effectiveness of health prevention vers
us health cure. The benefits arising from curative interventions are h
ighly visible, occur in identifiable individuals and can be quantified
using an increasing stock of clinical and quality of life measures. U
nfortunately the benefits of health promotion activities are much more
difficult to quantify and measure given that their success depends up
on ill health not occurring. In order for health promotion to effectiv
ely compete for limited health care resources it must ensure that the
benefits of its work are apparent to policy makers. This paper describ
es a methodology by which such benefits can be quantified in readily m
easurable terms. This enables health promotion to make an effective ca
se for additional resources using 'hard' quantified data that emphasiz
es the value for money and health gain (or rather the prevention of he
alth loss) that can be derived from interventions of this nature. The
methodology is based on readily available data relating to the levels
of morbidity and mortality experienced by any given population. Epidem
iological data is then utilized to quantify the link between ill healt
h and the problem being addressed by the health promotion activity. Th
e model described in this paper was tested in relation to the anticipa
ted impact of an anti-smoking programme upon the health experience of
the population within the North West of England