The objective of this study was to define several estimates of the suc
cess rate of in-vitro fertilization and embryo transfer treatment in r
elation to treatment outcome. The data were collected in a retrospecti
ve study of 591 patients treated during 3 years in one Belgian univers
ity hospital. Several models used for evaluating the treatment of infe
rtility were fitted to the data (logistic model, binomial model, doubl
e binomial model, exponential model, the Speirs model. The number of o
ocytes retrieved and the proportion of fertilized oocytes at the first
attempt can be used as prognostic factors. According to these factors
, the success rate after five attempts varies from 28 to 88%.