S. Ellner et Ng. Hairston, ROLE OF OVERLAPPING GENERATIONS IN MAINTAINING GENETIC-VARIATION IN AFLUCTUATING ENVIRONMENT, The American naturalist, 143(3), 1994, pp. 403-417
Population genetics theory suggests that temporally fluctuating select
ion on phenotypes can act to maintain genetic variance only under very
restrictive conditions. However, this conclusion is based on models w
ith discrete nonoverlapping generations. We propose here that temporal
ly fluctuating selection can indeed contribute significantly to the ma
intenance of genetic variation when the effects of overlapping generat
ions and age-specific or stage-specific selection are considered. We d
evelop a simple model for a population with overlapping generations, e
xperiencing stabilizing selection with a temporally fluctuating optimu
m, and subject to repeated invasions by mutants with alternative pheno
types. We find that an evolutionarily stable population must have posi
tive genetic variance maintained by selection so long as the product (
variance of fluctuations) times (amount of generation overlap) times (
selection intensity) is sufficiently high. This result applies to hapl
oid, diploid, single-locus, or multilocus inheritance, and it does not
depend on any form of heterozygote advantage to maintain genetic vari
ance. However, it depends on the map between genotype and phenotype be
ing constrained. If a single genotype can produce an arbitrary distrib
ution of phenotypes, then genetic variance is not maintained by select
ion.