THE FUTURE OF LOGISTICS IN CANADA - A DELPHI-BASED FORECAST

Citation
Me. Lynch et al., THE FUTURE OF LOGISTICS IN CANADA - A DELPHI-BASED FORECAST, Logistics and transportation review, 30(1), 1994, pp. 95-112
Citations number
NO
Categorie Soggetti
Operatione Research & Management Science",Transportation
ISSN journal
00474991
Volume
30
Issue
1
Year of publication
1994
Pages
95 - 112
Database
ISI
SICI code
0047-4991(1994)30:1<95:TFOLIC>2.0.ZU;2-1
Abstract
The Delphi method utilizes a group of experts in a particular field to derive a set of future scenarios for that field. Initial opinions of each panellist are ''fed-back'', anonymously, through one or more supp lementary questionnaires to all group members. Their reactions lead to rejection of some scenarios, but to relative consensus on the others. This article employ the Delphi approach to develop a long-range forec ast of Logistics in Canada. The findings of the panel are organized in to seven broad subject areas, and presented as a series of future tren ds. These are compared to other published results for North America.