Sp. Lan et al., A SCREENING ALGORITHM TO IDENTIFY CLINICALLY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN NEUROPSYCHOLOGICAL FUNCTIONS IN THE DIABETES CONTROL AND COMPLICATIONS TRIAL, Neuropsychology, development, and cognition. Section A, Journal of clinical and experimental neuropsychology, 16(2), 1994, pp. 303-316
Neuropsychological (NP) evaluations provide an accepted means of monit
oring safety in multi-center long-term medical trials. However, using
neuropsychologists to review test protocols and rate level of clinical
impairment can be a costly and logistically complex undertaking. To f
acilitate that process, the DCCT Research Group developed a computeriz
ed screening strategy that utilized statistical models to identify ind
ividuals with possible cognitive deterioration.Two hundred and eight s
ubjects with insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus were assessed twice,
2 years apart, with an extensive battery of NP tests, and the results
were rated by expert clinicians. Multiple logistic regression was used
to develop a statistical model to predict clinically significant NP wo
rsening(as determined by clinical raters) on the basis of changes in s
cores (year 2 - baseline) derived from the actual tests. A subsequent
performance evaluationwith an additional 1087 subjects demonstrated th
at the computerized algorithmwas highly successful in identifying indi
viduals with significantly worsened NP performance. Despite a high fal
se positive rate, the algorithm can achieve an 80-90% reduction in the
number of cases requiring evaluation by expert neuropsychologists.