The Tax Reform Act (TRA) of 1986 provides a natural experiment for exa
mining how taxpayers respond to transitory capital gains tax rates. Th
e act, passed in the summer of 1986, rendered the 20 percent top statu
tory tax rate, in effect from 1981 to 1986, transitory. This paper dev
elops a model of taxpayer behavior in response to transitory tax chang
es and tests its implications using data on asset transactions in the
Sales of Capital Assets (SOCA) panel compiled by the IRS. We find evid
ence that responses to transitory tax changes are dramatic and general
ly consistent with theory.