G. Karras, MACROECONOMIC EFFECTS OF BUDGET DEFICITS - FURTHER INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE, Journal of international money and finance, 13(2), 1994, pp. 190-210
This paper investigates the effects of budget deficits on money growth
, inflation, investment and real output growth using annual data from
a sample of 32 countries. The findings can be summarized as follows: (
i) deficits are generally not monetized and, therefore, they do not pr
oduce inflation via monetary expansions; (ii) deficits are not inflati
onary even through their (alleged) aggregate demand effects; (iii) def
icits are negatively correlated with the rate of growth of real output
, but this may just reflect their countercyclical nature; and (iv) inc
reased deficits do appear to retard investment usually after one or tw
o years.