The allocation of budgets to general practitioners to enable them to p
urchase selected hospital services has been one of the most imaginativ
e elements of the recent National Health Service reforms in Britain. H
owever, reliance on 'historic costs budgeting' has weakened the effici
ency incentives of fund-holding, while perpetuating the large variatio
ns in resource use endemic in general practice. On the other hand, pol
icy changes aimed to introduce elements of capitation funding, althoug
h welcome, raise the spectre of 'cream skimming'. The paper explores t
he potential for protection against 'cream skimming' offered by incorp
orating chronic health factors into the formula.