B. Pohlmanneden et al., DIAGNOSTIC AND PROGNOSTIC IMPLICATIONS OF THE 1ST EPILEPTIC SEIZURE IN ADULTS, Fortschritte der Neurologie, Psychiatrie, 62(5), 1994, pp. 147-154
Actual epidemiological studies show a prevalence rate for active epile
psy in 0.5-1 %, whereas single seizures occur in up to 5 % of the gene
ral population. Assessment of the significance of first epileptic reac
tion requires precise definition and classification of the episode, a
careful analysis of the entire context including thorough case history
, and indirect anamnesis. The value of EEG-techniques for this issue i
s part of a controversial discussion. By means of cranial computerized
tomography (cCT), brain tumours were detected as structural correlate
in 5 to 16 % of first-seizure-patients. In recent studies, estimated
risk of seizure recurrence after first unprovoked seizure ranged from
27 % to 78 %: most of the relapses were observed in the first 6 months
after the first event. The wide range of relapse rates is due to the
divergent methodological designs (retro- versus prospective design, se
lection of patients, length of time before study entry) in the differe
nt studies. There are conflicting results concerning risk factors and
predictive value of the following variables: pathology in the neurosta
tus, focal seizure type or Todd's paresis, history of febrile seizures
, symptomatic genesis, and specific epileptic potentials and time of d
ay of seizure event. In an actual metaanalysis of recent studies, seiz
ure etiology and EEG were the strongest predictors of recurrence. The
preliminary results of our prospektive study with a strict protocol an
d first-seizure-design are presented: we observed a seizure relapse in
26.7 % of 78 adult patients (age range: 17-84 years) after a mean lat
ency of 4.4 months. Until now, there is no evidence for potential pred
ictors of seizure recurrence. Data are missing concerning the question
of establishing early therapy in these patients: following the hypoth
esis of a dynamic process in epilepsy, most authors recommend sufficie
nt anticonvulsant treatment after the second non-provoked seizure to p
revent development of chronic epilepsy. For a comprehensive definition
of prognosis in further studies, data must be collected on the patien
t's life situation including changes following the seizure event.