M. Davidson et al., INCIDENCE OF INVASIVE CERVICAL-CANCER PRECEDED BY NEGATIVE SCREENING IN HIGH-RISK ALASKA NATIVE WOMEN, International journal of epidemiology, 23(2), 1994, pp. 238-245
Background. Alaska Native women experience higher invasive cervical ca
ncer incidence and mortality rates than US whites despite a long-stand
ing cancer screening programme including recommendations for annual Pa
p smears. Methods. To determine the frequency and results of cytologic
al screening preceding their diagnoses, a histological and medical rec
ord review was completed for 44 of 46 Alaska Native cases of invasive
cervical cancer from a defined population. An interval cancer (no prio
r dysplasia and a negative screening report within 3 years of diagnosi
s) was determined for 23 women. Mean number of negative reports during
the 3- and 5-year intervals before diagnosis was 1.7 and 2.6 respecti
vely. The age-adjusted incidence rate for all cervical cancer was 24.0
/100 000 women/year and for interval cancer with single and multiple n
egative reports during the 3-year interval before diagnosis it was 11.
6, and 9.6 respectively. Sensitivity of a Pap smear to demonstrate dys
plasia during the year before diagnosis was 51%. Conclusions. Annual c
ytological screening of all Alaska Native women with current methods w
ould provide earlier diagnoses for only an additional 15% of cervical
cancer cases. Plausible but unproven explanations include rapid progre
ssion through precursor stages of neoplasia or random screening errors
. Improved or ancillary screening methods appear necessary.