Dw. Stahle et Mk. Cleaveland, TREE-RING RECONSTRUCTED RAINFALL OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN USA DURING THEMEDIEVAL WARM PERIOD AND LITTLE ICE-AGE, Climatic change, 26(2-3), 1994, pp. 199-212
A 1053-year reconstruction of spring rainfall (March-June) was develop
ed for the southeastern United States, based on three tree-ring recons
tructions of statewide rainfall from North Carolina, South Carolina, a
nd Georgia. This regional reconstruction is highly correlated with the
instrumental record of spring rainfall (r = +0.80; 1887-1982), and ac
curately reproduces the decade-scale departures in spring rainfall amo
unt and variance witnessed over the Southeast during the past century.
No large-magnitude centuries-long trends in spring rainfall amounts w
ere reconstructed over the past 1053 years, but large changes in the i
nterannual variability of spring rainfall were reconstructed during po
rtions of the Medieval Warm Period (MWP), Little Ice Age (LIA), and th
e 20th century. Dry conditions persisted at the end of the 12th centur
y, but appear to have been exceeded by a reconstructed drought in the
mid-18th century. High interannual variability, including five extreme
ly wet years were reconstructed for a 20-yr period during the late 16t
h and early 17th centuries, and may reflect amplified atmospheric circ
ulation over eastern North America during what appears to have been on
e of the most widespread cold episodes of the Little Ice Age.