Indirect evidence suggests that a significant proportion of vertical t
ransmission of HIV infection occurs late in pregnancy or during delive
ry. Caesarean section, therefore, may protect the fetus from infection
. We looked at 1254 HIV-infected mothers and their children and the ef
fects of different modes of delivery on transmission risk. We also inc
luded a detailed assessment of confounding factors associated with tra
nsmission risk. Women who had caesarean sections were more advanced in
their disease progression which may cause the protective effect of ca
esarean section to be underestimated. When this and other potential co
nfounding factors were taken into account, caesarean section was estim
ated to halve the rate of transmission. This finding is important in t
he design of studies to evaluate treatments aimed at reducing mother-t
o-child transmission.