Deep venous thrombosis (DVT) complicates 60% of knee and 80% of hip ar
throplasties performed without prophylactic therapy. Routine postopera
tive duplex ultrasound surveillance has been proposed for the detectio
n of venous thrombosis following arthroplasty. In order to determine w
hether surveillance represents an effective strategy to detect postope
rative DVT when prophylaxis is used, surveillance duplex exams obtaine
d after primary or revision hip or knee arthroplasty were analyzed usi
ng decision analysis techniques. DVT was suspected clinically after 95
of 738 (13%) arthroplasties, with no symptoms suggestive of DVT after
the remaining 643 procedures. Surveillance duplex scans were performe
d within 2 weeks of 371 procedures, while no surveillance studies were
performed after the remaining 272 procedures. In these asymptomatic p
atients only 2 (0.5%) surveillance duplex studies were positive for DV
T. In contrast, 4 of 37 (11%) duplex exams and 5 of 62 (8%) contrast p
hlebograms performed among symptomatic patients were positive for DVT.
The overall incidence of DVT after arthroplasty in the entire populat
ion was 1.4% (10/738) with no pulmonary emboli. Patient follow-up aver
aged 162 +/- 285 days. Using the 1995 Medicare reimbursement of $163 f
or venous duplex, the incremental cost was $35,000 to detect 1 additio
nal unsuspected DVT and $110,000 per additional quality-adjusted life-
year gained. The low incidence of clinically significant DVT and pulmo
nary emboli with current prophylaxis does not justify an aggressive sc
reening program. Decision analysis suggests that a greater incidence o
f DVT is required for screening to be worthwhile. (C) 1997 Academic Pr
ess.