THE EARLY TERMINATION OF CLINICAL-TRIALS - CAUSES, CONSEQUENCES, AND CONTROL - WITH SPECIAL REFERENCE TO TRIALS IN THE FIELD OF ARRHYTHMIASAND SUDDEN-DEATH
Pj. Schwartz et al., THE EARLY TERMINATION OF CLINICAL-TRIALS - CAUSES, CONSEQUENCES, AND CONTROL - WITH SPECIAL REFERENCE TO TRIALS IN THE FIELD OF ARRHYTHMIASAND SUDDEN-DEATH, Circulation, 89(6), 1994, pp. 2892-2907
The early termination of clinical trials, for either benefit or harm,
often generates undue enthusiasm or alarm. The enhanced publicity atte
nding early termination of a trial promotes inappropriate interpretati
ons that are favored by the inherent difficulty of prompt and comprehe
nsive data review. Furthermore, the process of monitoring the accumula
ting outcome data for early evidence of treatment benefit or harm is f
raught with many statistical and methodological difficulties. This rep
ort from a task force convened by the Working Group on Arrhythmias of
the European Society of Cardiology incorporates first, a series of tri
als terminated appropriately or inappropriately for benefit or harm an
d used as examples to illustrate the importance of suitable trial desi
gn and of proper stopping rules; second, a description of the committe
e structure of a clinical trial; third, an analysis of the general des
ign issues; fourth, a review of the main issues in interim analysis wi
th special reference to main strategies for reducing the rate of false
-positive claims that could result from early trial termination; and f
inally, a series of specific recommendations concerning the design, st
ructure, analysis, interpretation, and presentation of a clinical tria
l.