Da. Guinn et al., MAMMARY STIMULATION TEST PREDICTS PRETERM BIRTH IN NULLIPAROUS WOMEN, American journal of obstetrics and gynecology, 170(6), 1994, pp. 1809-1814
OBJECTIVE: This prospective clinical trial was designed to assess the
ability of the mammary stimulation test to predict preterm birth in a
private nulliparous population. STUDY DESIGN: The mammary stimulation
test was performed between 26 and 28 weeks' gestation by 267 nulliparo
us women with singleton pregnancies. Test results were blinded to both
patient and referring physician. Pregnancy outcome data were collecte
d from the perinatal database and medical records. RESULTS: The mammar
y stimulation test was positive in 45 of 266 (17%) patients. Delivery
occurred at < 37 weeks in 27 patients (10.2%) and at < 34 weeks in fiv
e (1.9%). The mammary stimulation test demonstrated a sensitivity of 3
7%, a specificity of 84%, a positive predictive value of 20%, and a ne
gative predictive value of 92% for delivery at < 37 weeks' gestation.
for delivery at < 34 weeks' gestation the mammary stimulation test had
a sensitivity of 60%, a specificity of 82%, a positive predictive val
ue of 6%, and a negative predictive value 99%. The odds ratio for deli
very at < 37 weeks was 3.0 (95% confidence interval 1.3, 7.1), and for
delivery at < 34 weeks the odds ratio was 7.0 (95% confidence interva
l 1.1, 43.0), One third of preterm deliveries were secondary to idiopa
thic preterm labor, and the mammary stimulation test was positive in 7
7.8% (seven of nine) of these pregnancies. Patients with a positive te
st were more likely to require observation in labor and delivery for p
reterm uterine contractions (34% vs 4.3%, p < 0.01), and they were mor
e likely to demonstrate change at cervical examination (14% vs 2%, p <
0.01). CONCLUSION: in this population traditionally considered to be
at low risk for preterm birth a positive mammary stimulation test was
useful in identifying patients at risk for preterm uterine activity an
d preterm birth. Equally important was the identification of women who
were at low risk for preterm birth.