The role of the family history as a tool for the diagnosis of inherite
d thrombophilia has not been established. Several authors have indicat
ed that a positive family history is not a good predictor of inherited
abnormalities such as antithrombin m deficiency, or deficiencies of p
rotein C or protein S. We have tried to approach the family history in
a quantitative way. To this end we used the cumulative incidence data
of thrombosis in the general population and also in a population of p
rotein C deficient families to estimate the expected number of symptom
atic subjects in a family under both the hypothesis of inherited throm
bophilia and the null-hypothesis. Although a number of assumptions und
erlying our calculations need to be verified and probably adjusted bef
ore any truly quantitative meaning can be assigned to this approach, w
e feel that the family history is a useful diagnostic test for inherit
ed thrombophilia if it is used in a critical way.