Malignant pleura mesothelioma is a lethal disease and little is known
about prognostic factors. The prognostic significance of age, stage of
disease, gender and histological subtype was studied in 167 new cases
of cytologically (15%) or histologically (85%) proven malignant pleur
al mesothelioma in the Rotterdam area, during the period 1987-1989. Me
dian survival of all patients was 242 days. Univariate analysis identi
fied age, stage and histopathological subtype as significant prognosti
c factors, which was confirmed in multivariate analysis. Median surviv
al rates for patients <65, 65-74 and greater-than-or-equal-to 75 yrs w
ere 359, 242 and 131 days, respectively. Patients with Stage I disease
had a median survival of 359 days compared to 147 and 112 days, respe
ctively, for patients with Stage II and the combination of Stages III
and IV. Mixed histopathological subtype (190 days) was less favourable
than sarcomatous (207 days) and epithelial (252 days) subtypes. Using
a Cox proportional hazard model in patients with malignant pleural me
sothelioma, age, histological subtype and stage were identified as ind
ependent prognostic factors. These prognostic factors should be taken
into account when starting or evaluating treatment studies.