Hjm. Devries et al., MODEL FOR CALCULATING REGIONAL ENERGY USE, INDUSTRIAL-PRODUCTION AND GREENHOUSE-GAS EMISSIONS FOR EVALUATING GLOBAL CLIMATE SCENARIOS, Water, air and soil pollution, 76(1-2), 1994, pp. 79-131
In the integrated IMAGE 2.0 model the ''Energy-Industry System'' is im
plemented as a set of models to develop global scenarios for energy us
e and industrial processes and for the related emissions of greenhouse
gases on a region specific basis. The Energy-Economy model computes t
otal energy use, with a focus on final energy consumption in end-use s
ectors, based on economic activity levels and the energy conservation
potential (''end-use approach''). The Industrial Production and Consum
ption model computes the future levels of activities other than energy
use, which lead to greenhouse gas emissions, based on relations with
activities defined in the Energy-Economy model. These two models are c
omplemented by two emissions models, to compute the associated emissio
ns by using emission factors per compound and per activity defined. Fo
r investigating energy conservation and emissions control strategy sce
narios various techno-economic coefficients in the model can be modifi
ed. In this paper the methodology and implementation of the ''Energy-I
ndustry System'' models is described as well as results from their tes
ting against data for the period 1970-1990. In addition, the applicati
on of the models is presented for a specific scenario calculation. Fut
ure extensions of the models are in preparation.