1. Flight phenologies of the migrant cereal aphid Rhopalosiphum padi,
as indicated by suction trap catches throughout France between 1978 an
d 1988, were compared using multivariate methods. 2. Cluster analysis
identified seven main patterns of flight phenology for this species. 3
. Discriminant analysis of patterns using monthly mean temperatures al
lowed the effect of weather on patterns of flight phenology to be iden
tified. 4. The range of life-cycle strategies displayed by R. padi in
France can explain partially the different types of patterns and their
variations in space and time. 5. In the regions characterized by a ba
lance between holocycly and anholocycly, the annual variability of pat
terns in flight phenologies decreases with the increasing prevalence o
f holocycly. 6. Temperature plays a more important role for the predic
tion of likely patterns when a high proportion of the population is an
holocyclic. 7. The biological status of R. padi, and therefore the bio
logical functions of migrations, have to be specified to improve inter
pretation of phenological analysis in pest forecasts relating to the s
pread of barley yellow dwarf virus in winter cereal crops.