Sh. Chew et Jl. Ho, HOPE - AN EMPIRICAL-STUDY OF ATTITUDE TOWARD THE TIMING OF UNCERTAINTY RESOLUTION, Journal of risk and uncertainty, 8(3), 1994, pp. 267-288
Hope is experienced when there is enjoyment in delaying the resolution
of uncertainty. The main objective of this article is to identify the
phenomenon of hope. In addition, we empirically test several axiomati
c theories of temporal preferences which have implications for attitud
es toward the timing of uncertainty resolution. Overall, the data supp
ort the extension of recursive expected utility specification to incor
porate a weighted utility model of attitude toward future uncertainty.
We find that the instances where hopefulness are more prevalent tend
to be associated with a small probability of occurrence of a large gai
n. Interestingly, the degree of hopefulness is not correlated with ris
k attitude.