Objective: This study's aim was to test the validity of rapid cycling,
defined by criteria consistent with those proposed in the DSM-IV draf
t, as a course specifier for bipolar disorder. Method: The study was c
onducted at a university center for affective disorders on patients fu
lfilling Research Diagnostic Criteria for bipolar disorder. Thirty-sev
en rapid-cycling patients, i.e., patients with at feast four affective
episodes during the previous year, were compared with 74 nonrapid-cyc
ling patients on several demographic and clinical variables. All patie
nts were then followed up prospectively for 2-5 years by monthly perso
nal interviews. Results: The rapid-cycling group was significantly old
er and had a significantly longer illness duration than the nonrapid-c
ycling group but did not have a significantly higher percentage of wom
en or frequency of current hypothyroidism. During each year of follow-
up, the mean number of affective episodes and the percentage of patien
ts with at least four affective episodes were significantly higher amo
ng rapid-cycling patients. Rapid-cycling patients with a pole-switchin
g pattern during the year preceding intake were significantly more lik
ely than other rapid-cycling patients to have at least four affective
episodes during each of the first 4 years of follow-up. Conclusions: T
hese findings support the practical usefulness of rapid cycling as a c
ourse modifier for bipolar disorder, since it identifies a patient sub
group with a high recurrence rate. The predictive value of the modifie
r may be enhanced by the requirement of a pole-switching pattern. Sinc
e no external (i.e., unrelated to course) validator was found, the ide
a that rapid cycling represents one extreme of a continuum of episode
frequency in bipolar disorder remains viable.