BACKGROUND: In 1986, Jass and colleagues claimed to have improved on D
ukes' classification of prognosis for carcinoma of the colon and rectu
m. To have clinical relevance, such results should be reproducible and
confirmed by other institutions. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective clinicop
athologic study of 312 carcinomas of the colon and rectum to determine
whether or not Jass' classification is superior to that of Dukes' as
assessed by their relative reproducibility and prognostic significance
. RESULTS: Dukes' classification had excellent intraobserver and inter
observer reproducibility (kappa values of 0.86 and 0.93, respectively)
. In contrast, the reproducibility of variables assessed by Jass showe
d only slight to fair agreement (lymphocytic infiltration: intraobserv
er and interobserver kappa values of 0.08 and 0.05, respectively, grow
th pattern: intraobserver and interobserver kappa values of 0.37 and 0
.41, respectively). Dukes' stage and patient age were the most importa
nt prognostic variables on multivariate regression analysis. Tumor dif
ferentiation, nuclear polarity, tubule configuration, and lymphocytic
infiltration remained significantly related to survival in the presenc
e of Dukes' stage and age. The model which best predicted prognosis wa
s a combination of Dukes' stage, patient age and tumor differentiation
. Further addition of the variables assessed by Jass to this model did
not significantly improve the prediction of prognosis. CONCLUSIONS: D
ukes' classification is of greater prognostic value and more reproduci
ble than the components of Jass' classification. The continued use of
Dukes' classification is, therefore, warranted for prognostic and ther
apeutic decisions in patients with carcinoma of the colon and rectum.